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Old 02-12-2013, 12:46 PM
blandman blandman is offline
WSI Church Elder
Join Date: Mar 2010
Location: Chicago
Posts: 2,487

Originally Posted by doublem23 View Post

This is literally the single worst analogy i have ever read because a) only a complete and utter moron would base probablity on mean and not mode. Like, i literally cannot comprehend how stupid someone would have to be to make such an error and b) obviously a dice roll is the definition of a random event. Even if you rolled a 6 on a 6-sided dice 10,000 times in a roll the odds you'd roll a 6 on #10,001 is still 1/6. Comparing a weighted, statistical model (such as say... Pecota) to a truly random event shows a real fundamental lack of understanding of statistics and probability.
thank you.
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