Originally Posted by doublem23
Holy ****, you don't understand this stuff at all, do you? How many times does it need to be reminded that the team projections they publish represent only the tiniest fraction of work they do? Yes, everyone knows that projecting an entire 162-game baseball season in February is incredibly difficult and no, nobody is going to take their life savings to Vegas an plop it down on 77 wins for the Sox because BP said so.
Anyone who understands this stuff concentrates on their INDIVIDUAL PLAYER assessments and projections, which is far more reliable and useful. THAT'S why BP is so well read and respected amongst the professional baseball community. Again, just like a news show broadcasting a joke segment on April Fool's Day... Everyone knows that segment is "just for kicks" for a special day, but it doesn't add or take away from their integrity the rest of the year.
Yeah we get it, BP is the greatest thing in baseball since overhand pitching. You seem to get irate anytime anyone dares to criticize the publication. Yes, everyone realizes these are just projections. But they are so far off on the White Sox, nearly every year, it is fair to question the methodology. The Sox have overperformed something like 50 games over the last 4 or 5 years according to BP forecast. The Sox would have been in last a couple times and fourth a couple times if these projections were even remotely accurate. The BP machine says the Sox will not have 1 starting pitcher with a winning record this year, this after a year with a winning record, Danks coming back, not too many lineup changes, etc. Maybe the big predictor machine is broke is all a lot of us are saying. If they are so accurate , according to you, on individual player projections, why does the big computer suck so bad at predicting records?