Originally Posted by blandman
They're relevant in that they give a good idea about how a season should go. People scream about how off they are on the Sox, but 7 games is not a lot to be off if you understand the model. Then 2005 and a 19 game swing comes into play. But that's the exception there. A perfect storm of everything playing out perfectly for one season, aided by a weaker division.
Considering that 7 games is very often the difference between a division title and 3rd place, or drafting 3rd or drafting 14th, I'd say it's pretty far off.