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Old 02-19-2013, 10:05 AM
dickallen15 dickallen15 is offline
WSI High Priest
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 6,046

Originally Posted by blandman View Post
All you picked out of that was the surface argument?

After random chance, we've only outperformed their model by 5 games/year. It's really not all THAT significant. Outperforming their model by 5 games this year would make us .500. Clearly not all that significant.
Considering you have been saying the Tigers are a threat for 116 wins, wouldn't you say their PECOTA projection of 92 is a bit off? How are you defending a system you personally think is 24 games off?

I personally like BP, but don't take these projections too seriously. If you go back, some are accurate, others are not. They get a couple playoff teams right. A couple of last place teams wind up in the post season. People should just take them for what they are.

Last edited by dickallen15; 02-19-2013 at 10:13 AM.
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