Thread: Hot stove 3
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Old 12-14-2019, 02:08 AM
blandman blandman is offline
WSI Church Elder
Join Date: Mar 2010
Location: Chicago
Posts: 4,370

Originally Posted by voodoochile View Post
Curious because I read somewhere Bumgarner had the highest increase in spin rate in baseball last year. Giolito was second.

More spin, less velocity... and bad results. He's getting worse by the numbers - especially by peripherals. 4ish FIP three straight years, ERA is now catching up. On top of that...he gives up a lot of home runs. Which would play worse here.

Originally Posted by DubuqueSox View Post
Bumgarner had a league-leading 34 starts. He also pitched 207 innings in the National League and averaged practically a strikeout per inning. He would be a wonderful addition to our staff, especially with his big-game experience.

That's not a metric that gives you any information on the quality of pitcher he is. Jaime Navarro threw 209 innings for us in '97, and not one person here is going to mistake his 5.79 ERA that year as a "wonderful" addition to anything but a trash heap.

Innings matter, sure. But average/below average innings in volume are not as valuable as a smaller amount of elite innings. Yes, get innings that improve the club. But...we probably shouldn't spend $100 million on 200 innings of average to below average pitching. And that's what Madison Bumgarner is going to give you.