#16
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But the real question is if the 6-9 spots can get those RISP/pressure runs in that can win games. Last year, especially late, that was a real challenge. The other concern is with so many strikeout bats, would opposing starters will last longer in games against us? |
#17
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#9 2015 Obligatory Attendance/Record Tracker 1-2 LAST GAME: May 22 - Sox 3, Twins 2 NEXT GAME: June 8 - Sox vs. Astros Last edited by doublem23; 02-12-2013 at 09:17 AM. |
#18
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Flowers could bust, Viciedo might not get better, Beckham may be what he is, Rios might revert to his 2011 form, Dunn and Konerko may hit like the last 4 months of last season, Danks might be done, Peavy might be ineffective, Sale may blow out his elbow, blandman might be right for a change and the Sox might be awful. Chances are, a couple of those things will be true, and a couple will be just the opposite. We have to hope that there is more of the opposite. |
#19
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Oh no doubt, AJ is a huge candidate for regression this season but I think there's still a gap between his floor and Tyler's ceiling offensively for at least 2013 and maybe for several years until AJ's remarkable durability betrays him. So the question that needs to be answered this year is if Tyler's defense and how he handles the pitching staff can make up for the production we've lost offensively.
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#20
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#21
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I'm always more scared when we're predicated to do well. And Old Roman, great line about BP being considered relevant.
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"Some people meditate, I go to baseball games" - Keith Olbermann |
#22
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BP is extremely relevant in the baseball world. People are free to believe or deny that as much as they'd like, but there's a reason that many BP writers go on to be hired by MLB clubs, other baseball syndicates, or other high profile statistic-driven jobs. I mean, the PECOTA projections here are the brainchild of Nate Silver whose arguably one of the most well respected statisticians in the world at present. I know it's fun to think of these guys as nerds you remember in high school sitting in their parent's basement, splitting time writing numerical fantasies about baseball and watching porn, but the reality is they're deeply intellectual people with a very, very sound understanding of the game and what they're trying to measure and evaluate. If there is a problem with it, it's that too many people who don't fully understand their work put waaaaaay too much stock into certain numbers at times (and subsequently miss the forest for the trees). But that doesn't really change their relevance in the baseball world. There's a reason why everyone looks at BP projections and few others.
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#23
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#24
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Last edited by mahagga73; 02-12-2013 at 10:29 AM. |
#25
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We have a good to very good starting rotation, we have a solid group of arms in the bullpen, and we have a good to very good defensive team with our only real weakness being Viciedo's mobility.
It's all going to come down to the bats with this team.
__________________
It breaks your heart. It is designed to break your heart. The game begins in the spring, when everything else begins again, and it blossoms in the summer, filling the afternoons and evenings, and then as soon as the chill rains come, it stops and leaves you to face the fall alone. - A. Bartlett Giamatti |
#26
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Also the pitching staff is going to be better than it was last year, IMO. I would lay odds this team will be at or above .500 again.
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Riding shotgun on the Sox bandwagon since before there was an Internet... |
#27
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yep this ^^^
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#28
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Ignoring the fact that most people are aware that PECOTA Team Projections are more or less a fun exercise in statistical modeling and not to be taken as serious, carved in stone predictions, if you're measuring their accuracy against actual W-L record you've already demonstronstrated your ignorance as to what this projection is actually measuring. Just in case you wonder why nobody ever cares about your ERRRGH STANDARD DEVIATION argument.
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#29
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I'm not saying people have to like them, respect them, care about sabermetrics, or any of that ****. But to say that they don't hold a lot of water in the baseball community is tantamount to arguing with a physicist that that Isaac Newton guy doesn't really matter. |
#30
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